UK Error Might Reveal What They Are Hiding
If the 2 Dose Column was right, then things are bad for the vaccines
This could be big. Please keep all the caveats in mind. I’m making assumptions in here. I think they are backed up by good logic, but my logic is not perfect. But if you do think this makes sense, please share it so we can get the word out.
So last week, I had my first real “Scoop”. The UK Case Rate Charts were wrong. And they they fixed it. Wahwaaaaaa. I left the data up to show how I checked it for validity.
In the meantime, I theorized that the data we were given originally, 6751 cases for 70-79 year-olds for instance, was in fact the boosted column. The final data came in at 91024 cases in the corrected column which means that 7.4% of the total would be in the boosted. This has a problem however.
Using 70-79 as a guide, we see that the 3rd dose rate is 90.5%. (The vaccination chart is in 5 year intervals, so they need to be added together and the 3rd Dose population divided by the total population.) This means that only 195,439 people aged 70-79 are vaccinated with 2 doses, but not 3, compared to 4,528,570 people who have the full 3 doses.
If we were to assign the 6571 cases to the boosted, we would end up with over 84k cases left to the 2 dose vaccinate or over 43% of the entire remaining cohort! (Yes the case rate would be over 43k/100k). If instead we assign them to the 2 Dose vaccinated cohort that remains, our rate is a much more reasonable 3454/100k. It would also mean that the column label was correct not incorrect (IE it was in fact 2 Dose vaccine cases, not Boosted doses with an incorrect label). Interestingly it lets us calculate a case rate of 1860/100k for the boosted of instead of what we get from their data of 1926/100k - which is a very small contribution from the 2 dose vaccinated and a large contribution from the boosted that is significantly lower. Again, the difference in rate between 2 and 3 doses is likely to suffer from Immortal Time Bias as indicated by El Gato Malo. (Though the number of new boosters being added in the UK data is low in the upper age brackets.)
As you move down in the age brackets, the percentage with 3 doses falls pretty rapidly which is why the top two age brackets were the most completely off. All this data is very consistent with the 2 Dose column originally not containing the boosted cases, as I surmised in my original check, but rather containing the 2 Dose cases.
Assuming this is correct (and this is an assumption, make no mistake about it, but it is an assumption I’ve arrived at logically and the data are consistent with it). This lets us calculate the 2 Dose rates across the board. I suggest you sit down.
This is probably not super surprising. We see the 2 Dose cases for 18-49 are all effectively the same (just a very slight upwards trend), but they are much much higher than the combined rate - and this is with just ~30%-50% of the population boosted between 18 and 49. (Moving up about 10% each age group). By 30 years-old, the 2 Dose rate is 2x the rate in the report. Visual inspection would indicate that above 30, only the 70-79 age range doesn’t have more than double the rate of cases in the 2 Dose vaccinated vs the reported rate from the aggregate.
Okay, but that’s not why I brought you here. This is why I brought you here.
For the first time we see that 2 Dose vaccinated ADMISSION rates are roughly equal or GREATER than the rate in the unvaccinated (again as you get older). Even in the lower ages, the differences are extremely small. Here it is log scale to show how close they are (And because admissions and mortality are log scale by age)
An important note here, is that the Unvaccinated cohort is mostly naturally immune. So we STILL aren’t seeing Negative Vaccine Efficacy against the truly unvaccinated. But one of the paradoxes is what we have been seeing admissions and mortality remain stubbornly low relative to the unvaccinated group (meaning those without prior infections are getting very high admission and mortality rates).
Mortality is the same story.
The only difference here is that under 50 is almost not on the chart at all, plus the deltas are larger. Here it is log scale.
Under 40 mortality rates are around 1/100k or less. But clearly ALL categories are log scale. Age is the #1 driver of mortality, though the slope of each line is different, the nature of the data is the same and at 60+, 2 Dose vaccinated mortality rates/100k are higher than unvaccinated.
The UK started showing non-trivial booster numbers in week 42 (it isn’t clear whether this is 7-14 days after boosting or immediate, though I suspect it is 7-14 days after). This is the same time we see case rate deltas reverse course in the 70+ ages.
It’s also about where we saw admissions rate deltas start to go up.
This would imply that these are an artifact of including boosters with 2 Doses.
Unfortunately I don’t have any data from the UK on boosted case rates since they started widescale boosting. This means I really can’t keep calculating these values, but now we can see what the boosters are hiding in the UK. An apparent collapse of the VE against Hospitalization and Death.
It’s important to remember that it is only against a population of combined prior infection and truly unvaccinated. Interestingly, if we go back to my charts which attempted to calculate a “true” unvaccinated case rate, we can see that my numbers are not too far off what we are seeing now in the 2 Dose camp if you look at the various intersection points for natural immunity.
As many caveats at the UK now applies to their raw case rates now, can you imagine if their data started showing negative efficacy against admissions and mortality?
We might gotten a glimpse of that possible future.
UK Error Might Reveal What They Are Hiding
What you are probably seeing and showing us is the terrible two weeks post vaccine. As gato malo showed with two vaccines and unvaccinated, you are now seeing with boosted against double vaccinated.
So what i think is really happening is this. There is a lot of recovered in the unvaccinated, so "naive" unvaccinated admissions and deaths are the highest for any age, except recently injected. Vaccines still protects marginally, and it's effects against serious illness lasts longer than it looks, but only marginal protection. Boosted get the best protection because of very elevated levels of whatever antibody that still works.
This situation will last until we get the next variant sigma or ro or whatever they decide to call it, when being vaccinated will have a negative effect. My guess is after the summer.
I really do not think that vaccine pushers are retarded, they know all this. Their problem is thinking that the ends justify the means and that is why they hide all lie and all this. Basically post Christianity.
They know that for two weeks after the injection you are like a sitting duck, so they should say to bunker for two weeks after the jab. But who will take it then?
They know that the protection did not last long, but who would take the risks for six months protection?
They did know that the vaccines were not protecting from infection and therefore spreading, but who would take it then? They were expecting people to get asymptomatically sick and then get natural protection before the virus mutated too much to make the vaccine protection useless.
What they were not expecting is the OAS mechanism in action were vaccinated individuals do not get a robust protection after infection.
Almost all of this rambling is a guess, but it is one considering that they pretend to save as much people as possible, that they do not mind lying to get there, that they have all the information we have and probably some more dealt in secret meetings and the like. They also know that unless all the population suddenly gets protection with semi-mild omicron we are in for a shit show for next winter, with almost all the adult vaccinated population vulnerable to the next round with both OAS and ADE effects going on.
We will see if i am right, but I hope not.
It is difficult to comprehend how, after 2 years of generating reports, there can be errors / mislabeling of columns.
Computer systems, once set up, are literally, press this button to generate the report.
WTAF.