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Mar 3, 2022Liked by Just A Guy

Thank you for all your work. I agree with you. The people on both sides are the victims of their leaders. I am sure very little regular people want a war and I think those that do should fight it till the last man somewhere where no bystanders get hurt

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Take a look at the heatmap from here: https://klabautermann.substack.com/p/negative-impfeffektivitat-in-israel?s=w

Cases are falling faster in 2x and 0x in Israel.

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Do you think the tiny denominator for unvaccinated and twice vaccinated vs boosted is driving the faster decent? I like your charts and analysis. My favorite theory is that the 0x and 2x are falling faster because they have a higher percentage of previously infected which is driving their better immunity.

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Israel stats (link for .csv and github is below the charts) are in absolute cases numbers. I think the faster decline can partly be attributed to abolishment of the green pass.

But the problem is cases were already falling faster in 2x and 0x before abolishment of the green pass. I don't think there is data on positivity rates of the different groups.

It's a mess but 3x could decline slower because of OAS and they got vaccinated recently.

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I haven't been dealing in the Israeli data mostly because of language, but also because I have limited time in a week to process more than a single source. But the UK data has case numbers by age groups but also a chart of vaccination status by age group. The dangers of combined values is that the risks are log scale with age and the vaccination rates are so different by age.

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